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Light's up, sights up..." from Highpower Comp, Benchrest, etc. The issue may not be mirage; it may be a product of light intensity.
Also, a boil indicates hotter air, which is less dense, hence less air resistance (and time of flight), hence less drop.
The bullet is dropping from the instant is it no longer supported within the barrel. How far it drops is a direct consequence of flight time. Shorter flight time, shorter drop, and vice-versa.
These two examples demonstrate opposite consequences, which fuels the confusion, but both are valid explanations for
two different causes.
The issue with mirage is at least as much a matter of having a distorted image to aim at as it about how the mirage discloses localized crosswind, up/downdraft air forces pushing the projectile off the ideal path. The mirage forces the shooter to aim to a place that is
not actually in line with a true straight line to the aiming point, so
of course the shot goes off the intended aim. Two inputs, two results, neither of which is necessarily acting the same way.
There are a lot things happening within the air mass through which the bullet passes. They all add/contribute to uncertainty. If we imagine shooting through a vacuum, those influences will disappear, and predictability increases.
The average drop at 1000yd is somewhere around 30MOA or roughly 300 inches. Less at altitude. That's still only 1/2 of one degree. The effects of air disturbances and optical distortions are actually very small, but we can see that it doesn't take much to cause a deflection of 1MOA (10 inches, 1/60th of one degree).
Seen in such a context, being able to shoot to 1-2MOA is a mechanical miracle, and Ma Nature doesn't really like miracles. As we bang up against the far limits of the mechanics within a capricious environment, we are going to have to confront a reality that those limits do exist, and always will. Even a laser beam of parallel light will deflect (expand, etc.) due to refractive variances within the intervening air mass.
Be happy with such miracles as actually exist.
Greg