I wonder if we're making assumptions about SHTF that are reasonable.
My first question is about lifespans, mine and yours. Honestly, I do not expect to survive so long that parts wear and breakage will become a serious issue. Attrition in time of war is usually kept to acceptable levels (whatever that's supposed to mean) by rotating troops in and out of direct enemy contact. I don't see the kind of organization and management coming that would support that.
One becomes a casualty because of the factors least considered. Military organizations are supposed to enjoy the sorts of supporting troops and other resources that do that considering. I doubt that any SHTF scenarios will include much of that. Rambo is fiction, and nobody I know could get away with his shenanigans; such luck simply does not exist.
I've inhabited this site for going on decades, and the topic of SHTF comes up on a pretty regular basis. Folks chat about buying more ammo. Buy it cheap and stack it deep. That sort of stuff.
I'm telling you that all that ammo is an anchor, not a boon. You find yourself under a determined assault, you'll probably never get to shoot more than a few percent of it. It's very presence practically guarantees that you will, too, because it's an outright invitation to be a big fat target. Folks want that stuff, and will do ANYTHING to get hold of it. It's bait, pure and simple.
You'll very likely need to depart your fortress of solitude, and you'll be leaving that stuff behind. Or dying. Those are the options.
And while we're on the subject of all that ammo; Just what the heck are you folks actually planning on using it for? Defending? What do you mean by defending? Making a loud noise and scaring folks off?
No, to mount an active defense, you'll have to be killing people; lots of them. Most of us here have never done that. Many of those will abhor the idea having been through it already. They thought they were done, and here we are talking about doing it some more. The whole equation is full of flaws.
So far we've all been talking around such outcomes. Time to talks about them straight on, or STFU!
Your turn.
Greg
I’ll take a stab.
First point, if the ballon went up tonight I don’t have a rifle I’d use that’s got less than 3k though it so I think the chances of breaking something for me are medium to high. Heck, I just tore up a set of gas rings. I’ve also seen a bolt break. Likely? Maybe not, but not unlikely and it’s cheap insurance. I don’t think any scenario could go more than two-three years and that would have to be a global level of SHTF.
Second point is right on IMHO. Sickness and non-battle injuries are the worst enemy. If you have $10k in your rifle, pistol, and ammo but don’t have a medical kit that ranges from splinter to tooth ache to lost appendage you are probably not ready for anything.
Ammo, I’d say you need a lot. Average weeks see hundreds of rounds fired at my house. SHTF wouldn’t stop that, still gotta train. Also, lots of folks around me with similar mindset but dissimilar abilities to have stocks so if I have enough to help them that’s a bonus. Priority of ammo comes after food, water, and shelter and it’s only a small part of security.
Ammo as an anchor...I see where you are coming from. Not sure I think that’s a valid reason not to have a bunch. I also agree that many people over estimate their own abilities and underestimate the other side’s on the two way firing line. And what are you eating and drinking while you sit on your big pile of ammo? (See last para)
I will never leave my “fortress” but I also pray I never have solitude. You can not win against a group and very unlikely you’ll win against one person more than a handful of times at best. Stack your friends deep.
Using ammo, see above still training. Probably give most of it to those that need it. And security.
Why do you have to kill lots of people to have an active defense? I’d argue that an active defense should fix most post SHTF problems before they become problems that only shooting will fix. And if it gets to the point you need to shoot to solve the problem the fight should be so unfair to the aggressor that unless they have significant higher numbers they won’t win.
So yeah, nothing wrong with spare parts as a topic. Just remember it’s a subtopic to a subtopic that is only a part of an even larger topic of which there are five according to some dude named Maslow and most “pre
And that’s only at the individual level, there’s whole other topics at the group, neighborhood, state and national level