So far while sales seem to have started to come back and some prices have lowed, I haven't seen anything interesting for black friday yet in the various released ads and early sales that are any better than what I've seen regularly the last few months. I suspect it's going to be a very boring black friday this year, even the tech deals are weak. The ads I've seen for the usual big box stores it looks like no ammo rebates (not surprising) and the sale prices aren't any better than what I see regularly on gundeals now. Ammo prices in particular are interesting, some calibers have come down to almost the levels they were 5+ years ago, others are still running almost twice what it was then.
I stocked up on tons of ammo back around 17-19' in the rebate hay days and comparing order prices from then to now, 9mm prices are pretty low really, not hard to find 1000rds approaching $210 again for 9mm range ammo, basically the same price it was back in 18-19' just minus the 20-25% rebates they'd offer.
In other calibers though pricing is still ridiculous .223/5.56 and 45acp for example. I was buying 1000rds of 5.56 win/fed range ammo under $300, and 1000rd cases of 45 acp FMJ for around $260 before the rebates. Now a case of 45 ACP or 5.56 is $450-$500. That said with Trump back in office we'll probably see better prices on guns/ammo over time, at the very least I wouldn't panic buy anything at this point.
Definitely tune in for the MDT madness, make some popcorn, wait for the threads complaining about all the various issues. B&T usually has some extra % off their blem bipods, Accutac usually does 30-40% off, KRG has some blem stuff, but sadly never any TRG chassis. MPA will probably do another "grenade" blem sale, as will Geissele. Surefire is probably still recovering from 2015 when they did their black friday mistake and put everything 50%+ off.