Well hopefully at this level the guy has some decent follow through and a couple good spotters which can walk him into a bit closer with each miss. i wasnt thinking statistics, only that for every shot and every miss provided you can see a splash or your miss, the more shots you take, a hit probability should go up.
Yes, that makes sense. I was thinking more along the lines of the others saying "if you throw enough lead at it, eventually you're bound to make a random hit."