Recession - 2022 / 2023 / 2024

The cycle of "charge more and sell less" never goes on forever.

Procter & Gamble
on Friday reported quarterly earnings and revenue that topped analysts’ expectations as higher prices helped offset lower demand for its products.
The company, which owns household brands like Febreze, Charmin and Tide, also raised its forecast for organic sales growth for fiscal 2023 to 6%, up from its prior range of 4% to 5%.

 
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United Parcel Service
shares fell Tuesday after the American trucking and delivery giant reported first-quarter misses on both earnings and revenue.
To some analysts, the relatively weak report from UPS hints at a wider economic slowdown, particularly when coupled with CEO Carol Tomé’s comments.


 
There’s good reason for software engineers to believe the hiring market will remain strong well into the future. The tech unemployment rate fell to 1.5 percent in January, according to the latest CompTIA analysis of data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Despite the layoffs in Big Tech, many industries outside of tech experienced strong tech job demand at the beginning of the year, including and insurance (up 30,576 tech job postings in January) and manufacturing (24,269 tech job postings).
 
South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix has reported a record quarterly operating loss of 3.4 trillion won ($2.54 billion) for the first quarter of the year.

According to Reuters, this is its largest loss since the SK Group acquired Hynix in 2012.
 
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Tyson Foods
will eliminate about 10% of corporate jobs and 15% of senior leadership roles, Chief Executive Donnie King told employees on Wednesday.
The layoffs are the latest cost-cutting move for the biggest U.S. meat company by sales as it grapples with declining profits and struggles to improve results in its iconic chicken business.

 
Treading water... Hoping for the best.

The U.S. personal savings rate remains below its historical average, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The seasonally adjusted annual rate of personal saving was 4.6% in February. That’s well below the average annual rate of more than 8%, according to the data, which traces back to 1959. In June 2022, the rate had dipped to 2.7%, a 15-year low.

 
Everything we are seeing today... Higher interest, layoff's, lower GDP should have happened 18 months ago. The FED Reserve / Jerome Powell became politicized. When politician's are running the financial system... The country is doomed.

Run away inflation that raised prices to a historic level.
These prices will never come down.
You have been robbed by your own Government... Even if you are drawing a Government paycheck.
The Downfall will continue.
 
Everything we are seeing today... Higher interest, layoff's, lower GDP should have happened 18 months ago. The FED Reserve / Jerome Powell became politicized. When politician's are running the financial system... The country is doomed.

Run away inflation that raised prices to a historic level.
These prices will never come down.
You have been robbed by your own Government... Even if you are drawing a Government paycheck.
The Downfall will continue.

They've been robbing us for decades this time it's been turned up to 11.

It wouldn't hurt so bad if wages went up but it always seems like prices go UP and wages go UHHHHH.

Some idiot was telling me the other day that minimum wage was driving inflation. I'm sure the Feds printing press has nothing to do with it :ROFLMAO:
 
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WTF?
"What we need is a period of slower growth so that the economy can cool off, so the labor market can cool off, so that wages can cool off. That's how inflation comes down. That's the only way we know to bring inflation down. And it can be painful, but we don't know of any painless way for inflation to come down."

That quote tells you that they need unemployment to rise and wages to decrease relative to the inflation rate so that it will push the inflation rate down over time via deferred purchases. Think on that and the trickle down effects.
 
"What we need is a period of slower growth so that the economy can cool off, so the labor market can cool off, so that wages can cool off. That's how inflation comes down. That's the only way we know to bring inflation down. And it can be painful, but we don't know of any painless way for inflation to come down."

That quote tells you that they need unemployment to rise and wages to decrease relative to the inflation rate so that it will push the inflation rate down over time via deferred purchases. Think on that and the trickle down effects.
I get the economics part of it. What I don't get is that he was duped in to a conversation with a fake Zelensky.
 
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First Republic Bank just went off a cliff so add that to the list.
My thoughts are that the First Republic won't be the last. The regime is camouflaging the reality of economic doom, They'll obfuscate it, until after the election. If the left wins, they can usher in the new cashless, marxist economy. If the right wins, the economic collapse will be the fault of the right. It's no win situation.
 
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My thoughts are that the First Republic won't be the last. The regime is camouflaging the reality of economic doom, They'll obfuscate it, until after the election. If the left wins, they can usher in the new cashless, marxist economy. If the right wins, the economic collapse will be the fault of the right.

A relative of mine quit paying a whole bunch of credit card bills and the banks just closed the accounts no judgements/collections etc. I think they are lying about the number of bad debts/accounts/upside down banks out there.
 
"The World Economic Forum (WEF) has warned that the employment landscape will change drastically over the next five years amid increasingly widespread use of artificial intelligence (AI), the transition to green energy, environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards, and slower economic growth.

According to WEF’s “The Future of Jobs Report 2023,” roughly 23 percent of jobs are expected to change by 2027, with around 69 million new jobs to be created and 83 million eliminated, resulting in a decrease of 14 million jobs, or 2 percent of current employment.

The report (pdf) surveyed 803 companies collectively employing more than 11.3 million workers in 27 industry clusters and 45 economies from across the globe, on macro and technology trends and their impact on jobs and skills, as well as the “workforce transformation strategies” that businesses plan to implement between now and 2027.

It found that clerical or secretarial roles, including bank tellers, cashiers and ticket clerks, data entry clerks, postal service clerks, and administrative and executive secretaries will likely see the fastest decline in roles over the next five years relative to their size today, with roughly 26 million fewer jobs by 2027."
 
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Not all renters are trying to become homeowners. A majority of them don’t think they’ll ever have enough money to buy property, recent data finds.
In fact, 66% of U.S. renters say rising home prices have them feeling “hopeless” about owning a home, according to a survey by online brokerage Home Bay of 1,000 renters. Instead, they’re focusing on other financial milestones.
With median home prices up 33% since January 2020, 77% of renters say the U.S. has an affordable housing crisis. The median home price climbed from $329,000 in January 2020 to $476,800 as of April 2023, according to the most recent U.S. Census Bureau data

 
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All the puzzle pieces are coming together to form the picture.
The guy's here could have "solved the puzzle" two years ago when the first piece hit the table.
We've put that same puzzle together 3 - 4 times.
 
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Correct, although I expected the recession to happen in 2020, lol, and for us to be recovering by now.
That, my friend, would have been "optimal" for the working middle class.
Dragging this out is hardest on the folks who (for one reason or another) are on a fixed income.
This forces us to use up our resources while treading water and praying for a better economy.
I am replacing some things I purchased 3 years ago. The price is 3X what it was then. Quality OEM tractor and truck parts for one.
Replacing a Ford 7.3 PSD is running around $10k... A person can cut some corners but there are risk.
I am planting a larger garden.
 
 
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Our fed economic policy is just a wealth transfer from the bottom to the top in the name of political power/stability.
Buffett is watching currency in circulation, calling it “one of the most interesting figures” to consider and calling out those who previously said “cash is trash” back in 2007 and 2008.
“The Federal Reserve balance sheet has gone from $800 billion to $2.2 trillion and most of that’s in $100 bills overwhelmingly. … I would really like to know where all of that is,” he said.


 
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Buffett is watching currency in circulation, calling it “one of the most interesting figures” to consider and calling out those who previously said “cash is trash” back in 2007 and 2008.
“The Federal Reserve balance sheet has gone from $800 billion to $2.2 trillion and most of that’s in $100 bills overwhelmingly. … I would really like to know where all of that is,” he said.



Translation:

100$ bills! That's way too much money for any one peasant to handle! Give it to ME!!!!!
 
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- Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said there are “simply no good options” for solving the debt limit stalemate in Washington other than Congress lifting the cap and cautioned that resorting to the 14th Amendment would provoke a constitutional crisis.
 
KKR said its profit from asset sales fell 70% to $172.7 million. That result was in line with its peers, Blackstone Inc (BX.N) and Carlyle Group Inc (CG.O), which also reported slower asset divestments in the first quarter.