Tell us more about your expertise in data crunching, and how applies to election polls.
Because, concretely, "professional data cruncher" isn't really a thing.
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Election predictions
- Thread starter Aries256
- Start date
Tell us more about your expertise in data crunching, and how applies to election polls.
Because, concretely, "professional data cruncher" isn't really a thing.
Clearly. And look, despite the polls making it seem like Biden has a better chance than Hillary at the time of election, the 2016 result actually has shaken my confidence to the point that I have far less faith this time around. I just went to bed on election night last time around, because I *knew* how it was going to turn out. Whereas, this time I'm not so sure. But, my nature is to prefer evidence and data to feelings.
Nothing would make me happier than to wake up tomorrow to a Republican controlled Senate and White House. I'd say house of reps too, but that's just getting greedy, given the possibilities.
I used his term. That's why it's in quotes. My official title is G3 Production Analyst for the US Army Recruiting Command. I have a masters in Operations Research/Systems Analysis. Thanks for your personal interest in me.
None of that is relevant, but I'll play.
Ranger-qualified Army Infantryman (primary MOS), still currently active duty, with a combat tour each in Iraq and Afghanistan for a combined 27 months in a combat theater, 10 of which were spent in a special ops task force wherein I conducted at least 15 air-assault ops into the shittiest locations in Iraq from Jan-Oct '08, and I had an additional 5 years overseas in Germany. I have the bronze star, earned the EIB, Airborne, Air-assault tabs, had the highest pistol marksmanship score in my last infantry Battalion, and shot a perfect 40 of 40 with an M4. I was Director/OIC of range safety for 2 years at the largest live-fire training area outside of CONUS (Grafenwoehr Training Area), with the formal certification to build ranges and approve live-fire maneuver to army standard for everything from a slingshot, to naval gunfire, to 2k+ lbs ordinance from fixed wing aircraft.
Here's my intro thread where I talk about my personal firearm situation and ambitions: https://www.snipershide.com/shootin...-trigger-on-my-ar-setup.7033856/#post-8946270
Did that check enough boxes? Now, who the fuck are you? Let's measure your dick now. Aside from calling yourself a deer sniper, why do you deserve to be here?
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Thanks, that helps somewhat. IMO it helps to be more explicit if you want people to take it seriously. Lots of people work with data these days, with and without graduate degrees. But also, 2020 has been a bad year for "experts". So maybe by now you shouldn't be surprised by skepticism.
How many people lost money betting on cankles?
Now there's a response that oozes adultness. Try again!
Is that you^
You sound like a statist yes man
You’re a Johnny come lately wanting to learn about and buy guns so you come here and shit this place up pushing pro Biden, pro mask laws and anti freedom taking points.
No one wants to hear your BS.
I’ve been here contributing for years. I am a gun guy. I support freedom.
Basically the opposite of you.
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I'm pro-Trump, and opposed to a mask mandate. And you're just a puss who is losing so you have to make shit up. So, your qualification is that you've been here longer. Congrats... Awesome list of accomplishments.
Are you locked in?
Make an argument to change our minds.
So far your leadership is lacking, 6.
Lol................
You two turds have been here for a combined not even 5 months and you think you have a handle on what
lurks here.
R
Remember those kids in school who were pretty stupid, you always knew there was something off with them?
Then they go on to become alcoholics etc., living in shitholes with families (if they have one) that hate them?
Yeah, they come to bear pit to be tough guys and shit on people anonymously from behind a computer.
PMclaine, Deer Sniper Rthur etc., all those guys, you gotta really dumb it down for them..
Yeah... I've got a handle on it. The anti-intellectualism present here makes these almost entirely one-sided debates kinda like bouncing the basketball off the fat kid's head in high school gym class. I'd feel bad if you guys weren't the ones instigating. It's entertaining, even while simultaneously feeling sorry for all of you.
There went a whole bunch of cheap PX items. Should have let him still use that
For real...... there is these 2 shitbirds and 1 more (im sure he will be here soon) that follow each other around and suck each other off in tons of threads lately.
Irony...
You first claim the victim card then partake in the exact action you are making fun of.
Let me show you how to insult.
"Preatorian, don't mind these guys they are just jealous of our "tight" bond."
I'm not here to judge.
R
They usually burn themselves out with their intellectualism and leave. They must not soil themselves with our brand of conversation.
I voted Trump, and I hope he wins, but in reality, I'm not getting a warm fuzzy feeling about the election. I'm grateful that we have another Conservative just on SCOTUS, so at least when Roberts flips over and sids with the Libturds, we still have a Conservative majority
I feel more anxious than I did in 2016 and that's when Trump didn't stand a chance of winning.
rofl
So... Am I getting this right? Don't mind the gay cowboys because they are jealous of the tight bond of regulars in this forum? It looks like yet another self-own to me. I'm seriously trying to find a way to take offense to this one.
I'll give you fucks this, you're entertaining!
So, my questions are these:
When President Trump wins the election, and gets "re-elected" tonight, it'll be by a landslide.
Therefore, There will be unrest in the LIEberal shitholes such as Atlanta, Shitcago, and the like.
To which, there will be rioting, mayhem, and fires started.
So now the questions,,,, do we waste time putting out the fires, or just let 'em burn? Do we expend people and resources to get there, to fight the fires, or put that same effort and infrastructure towards simply building better living conditions, in a better place(s)?
Do we even try,,,, or 'why bother?'
When President Trump wins the election, and gets "re-elected" tonight, it'll be by a landslide.
Therefore, There will be unrest in the LIEberal shitholes such as Atlanta, Shitcago, and the like.
To which, there will be rioting, mayhem, and fires started.
So now the questions,,,, do we waste time putting out the fires, or just let 'em burn? Do we expend people and resources to get there, to fight the fires, or put that same effort and infrastructure towards simply building better living conditions, in a better place(s)?
Do we even try,,,, or 'why bother?'
EIB. With all that time in country, I would think CIB. Or don't they do that any longer?
I hope I'm wrong, but I don't think it will be a clear cut landslide victory for Trump.
With the efforts that the left has taken for mail in voting, I fear they have farmed/manufactured votes in depressed areas that don't really give a crap about voting. So we'll see variables/votes this year that we have never seen before.
I also believe that people who hate trump are much more vocal about it and have influenced moderates. I don't think moderates necessarily hate Biden. They don't care as much about 2A rights, so they just see him as middle of the road and therefore will lean that way.
The media is doing it's best to manipulate the population and the vast majority are lemmings.
I really hope I'm wrong.
With the efforts that the left has taken for mail in voting, I fear they have farmed/manufactured votes in depressed areas that don't really give a crap about voting. So we'll see variables/votes this year that we have never seen before.
I also believe that people who hate trump are much more vocal about it and have influenced moderates. I don't think moderates necessarily hate Biden. They don't care as much about 2A rights, so they just see him as middle of the road and therefore will lean that way.
The media is doing it's best to manipulate the population and the vast majority are lemmings.
I really hope I'm wrong.
*Baits people with controversy
(Got to get the jollies, ya know)
*Gets expected replies
(Palms sweaty, slight smirk)
*Projects pseudo intellectualism and superiority complex
(But I am one of you)
*Thinks people dont recognize things for what they are.
(Because Im Data Analyst)
Jfc.
(Got to get the jollies, ya know)
*Gets expected replies
(Palms sweaty, slight smirk)
*Projects pseudo intellectualism and superiority complex
(But I am one of you)
*Thinks people dont recognize things for what they are.
(Because Im Data Analyst)
Jfc.
The only thing I see oozing is a Troll........
Yes. And, my time in combat is covered. The EIB was earned by excellence particularly in Manual of arms related tasks, the CIB was earned just for being there.
Praetorian-6; I took you seriously on your first post and genuinely tried to be of help to you.
Now I see you coming over into the Pit and getting into pissing matches with your fellow forum members.
Honestly, you've disappointed me. Some of us have a few trinkets on our blouses, too; but we don't go waving them around on our first week here.
I may have to rethink my attitude toward offering help to others here...
Greg
Now I see you coming over into the Pit and getting into pissing matches with your fellow forum members.
Honestly, you've disappointed me. Some of us have a few trinkets on our blouses, too; but we don't go waving them around on our first week here.
I may have to rethink my attitude toward offering help to others here...
Greg
As for the election; with people like Pelosi and Schumer guiding the ranks of the Dems, expect underhanded sucker punches and shit flinging for the next two months, just for a start. That pair remind me of the monkeys at the zoo, flinging their shit at everything that moves. The country would be better off without them in positions of power.
Greg
Greg
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I've been here nearly 20 years. There have been some tough weeks for me too.
Yes, it can get disappointing, but also, when the crunches come, these are the same people who helped me when it really counted.
Grow some humility. Get over it all. Respect here cannot be demanded, it must be earned, here, on the spot. What we did elsewhere, was there, and then.
To get, first we give, that's the way it is in the Pit. The Bear Pit is a Marines' invention. We don't step into it unless we're ready to shed a little blood.
Greg
Yes, it can get disappointing, but also, when the crunches come, these are the same people who helped me when it really counted.
Grow some humility. Get over it all. Respect here cannot be demanded, it must be earned, here, on the spot. What we did elsewhere, was there, and then.
To get, first we give, that's the way it is in the Pit. The Bear Pit is a Marines' invention. We don't step into it unless we're ready to shed a little blood.
Greg
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Suggesting that real-world data is the way things are likely to go is not controversy and it's not bait. The rest was just in response to some enjoyable pathetic attempts to discredit anything this group can't handle.
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