How far could you hit a 19”W x 24”H target with 100% certainty?

He said the wind direction was also switching back and forth... so, it could be 1"-14" depending on luck and timing of the trigger pull.
youre probably right. 5-10mph switching from 7-10 o'clock. at 7 you'll probably have more elevation change than windage. so you'll be high and right. more margin for error on height though.
 
Seems I’m gonna hafta step up my game.
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