I am not sure they have a clue. I am going to lay a early bet. Irma clips south Florida, goes across the gulf and hits Houston. This is not a dream or fantasy I WANT to happen. I just don't understand what force it going to get that bitch to do a hard fucking right at Cuba. Newton's laws just don't jive with the forecast.
If Irma is the strongest storm ever(in the top 5 at least) is a little high or low pressure going to steer her?
The storm, like running water, or electricity, will take the path of least resistance. That happens to be up the Florida coast due to a mild cool front that has pushed down through Texas recently. The same cool front, incidentally, keeping the effects of Katia in Mexico and away from Texas. And, I believe it is a high pressure system in the Atlantic that is expected to keep Jose in the Atlantic, and away from a US landfall...