OK, I'm going to say what no one wants to hear. This deportation action will not be a total success.
Practically speaking, there is a huge math problem that will either have to be fixed through increasing deportations dramatically from what is going on now, assimilations (citizenship), or just ignoring the problem.
There were 2,000 captures in the first week. Thats 104K per year. At the end of Trump's term if that holds constant is 416K total removed. The estimates of illegals here is between 30 - 50 million, depending on the source cited. I don't think this includes DACA. In order to boot out 30 million that is a run rate of 7.5 million a year or 144K per week. That's 21K per day roughly. 50 million illegals almost doubles that.
While the deportations of illegals is a good thing, it is apparent that it will not be as successful as some have convinced themselves it will be. There simply aren't enough resources available to do this. So then the question has to be asked: what is the acceptable number and demographic of illegals that are deported? If you know that they can't all be thrown out in four years it then becomes a question of which illegal deportations allow for the highest yield in terms of societal safety, welfare outflows and demographic desires. IOW, the deportations must be prioritized and the rest will by default be dealt with in some other manner, and there are options to deal with this (creating an environment where self-deportation is their most favorable option for instance). Homan has already done this to an extent by focusing on the criminals within this illegal community, and I strongly suspect that they already know the problem I have just laid out and that deportations are not going to get rid of everyone, so they are going for the highest yield first. The question must be pragmatically asked: what is the number that is acceptable to expel in four years?
I bring this up because there is no guarantee that the next president will continue with this policy. Expect the Trump administration to tout how many were thrown out, which is fine. But don't expect it to be a majority of the illegals we have. That means millions will still be one the welfare roles, working in the underground economy (evading taxes, thereby increasing their annual revenue) and generally work really hard at not being citizens while having anchor children. The open borders have allowed in so many that getting rid of them to the point that it does not impact the legislative makeup (through census counts, which includes illegals) or overall demographics is almost impossible. This was part of the plan, to fundamentally change America. There is a practical political case to be made that I'm sure has been thought about by those next to Trump: in order to keep conservatives in power, the general deportation of illegals should be concentrated in blue and purple states in order to maintain voting power in those areas - a preservation and strengthening of the future conservative power bases.
ICE agents made 956 arrests under Trump, already outpacing the average daily ICE apprehension rate under Biden in fiscal year 2024.
www.dailysignal.com
A federal judge, U.S. District Judge John Coughenour, a appointee of former President Ronald Reagan, has blocked Trump's executive order on birthright citizenship from taking effect.
justthenews.com