Inflation.......... ?

I’ve still got my eye on purchasing more properties, but I’m only going to start being really interested about 25% below where we are now.

I’ve instead been deploying my cash on items I need and or want to have on hand.

I’m almost where I’ll be comfortable. I’m good on maintenance items, lumber, fasteners, tools, knowledge, etc. Now I have the comfort to sit back and watch for deals to add things at lower cost.
LOL... We are in the same camp. On Monday I bought a used 3 pt hitch tiller (54" wide) and a 3 pt hitch 5' box grader for $500 from a guy retiring from the landscaping business. Spent 2 - 3 days in the shop refurbishing the tiller. Listed the box grader for $400 on Craigslist and a guy showed up an hour later with cash and a trailer to haul it away. He was tickled pink to even find a 5' box grader in my area. So, for $100 and some sweat equity I have my tiller. Welcome to the "World of the Poor's"... LOL
 
Same here. Been getting the farm in shape. Replacing fencing, a new corral, head gate and some tractor attachments. Getting all the vehicles new tires and serviced. Replaced battery cables on the 250 and replaced batteries. Keeping the diesel fuel storage and gas storage topped off.
I’ve still got my eye on purchasing more properties, but I’m only going to start being really interested about 25% below where we are now.

I’ve instead been deploying my cash on items I need and or want to have on hand.

I’m almost where I’ll be comfortable. I’m good on maintenance items, lumber, fasteners, tools, knowledge, etc. Now I have the comfort to sit back and watch for deals to add things at lower cost.
 
CA "solved" this a while ago...
 
  • Sad
Reactions: Hobo Hilton

Attachments

  • Biden 8.png
    Biden 8.png
    17.1 KB · Views: 48
A comment from JW Rawels.

JWR’s Comment: Take note that Biden’s proposed tax is based on “net worth” rather than annual income. So, if a “land rich” rancher only took a small profit as income, he’d still be taxed at this new confiscatory rate. This sort of tax is what will inevitably cause Atlas to Shrug.


 
A comment from JW Rawels.

JWR’s Comment: Take note that Biden’s proposed tax is based on “net worth” rather than annual income. So, if a “land rich” rancher only took a small profit as income, he’d still be taxed at this new confiscatory rate. This sort of tax is what will inevitably cause Atlas to Shrug.


Could this be avoided with a trust? Wonder how the super wealthy are going to address this?

But also remember they told us this was coming. It’s how they reach a net zero impact of the multi-trillion spending bill. This should come as no surprise.
 
Could this be avoided with a trust? Wonder how the super wealthy are going to address this?

But also remember they told us this was coming. It’s how they reach a net zero impact of the multi-trillion spending bill. This should come as no surprise.
Good question about a trust.
Money taken from a trust is subject to different taxation than funds from ordinary investment accounts. Trust beneficiaries must pay taxes on income and other distributions that they receive from the trust. Trust beneficiaries don't have to pay taxes on returned principal from the trust's assets.

 
Think of "inflation" as your investment in their vision of your future prison.

Synopsis for those who don't have an hour to watch the video below.

They are 100 steps ahead of you.

 
Could this be avoided with a trust? Wonder how the super wealthy are going to address this?

But also remember they told us this was coming. It’s how they reach a net zero impact of the multi-trillion spending bill. This should come as no surprise.
follow bill gates model
1) create non profit
2) donate land to non profit
3) have non profit, lease land back to farmer (or other farmers, so they take the risk)
4) farmer sits on board of non profit, his 'income' for running the non profit is determined by the board; namely himself and his family if he wishes.

facebook zucker did the same thing, cashed out, donated most to 'charity' and he runs that charity, so his income is tax free and he can pass it down to heirs TAX Free (avoiding inheritance tax); since it's a trust that pays out by who 'runs' the trust.

I'm surprised Elon Musk hasn't done this yet.
 
twitter is going CRAZY.. shareprice is CLIMBING like mad, since Elon said he's going to buy it.
Saw that... Flash in the pan.... insiders made a killing.... Outsider's made nothing... another day at the Casino.
Get ahead of the curve and invest in the coming recession. Look at history of 3 previous recessions.
The discount, big box stores made out nicely. Economy foods like hot dogs, Mac n cheese etc did well... Luxury items, not so well. Tyson is the largest maker of hot dogs (below)
History is repeating.
 
Last edited:
"I use all liquid fertilizer," Paul said. "The cost right now for that product is $4.50. About 14-15 months ago, the cost per gallon was about $1.62, for the same product."
 
twitter is going CRAZY.. shareprice is CLIMBING like mad, since Elon said he's going to buy it.
8 - 9 months of downward momentum on the stock chart and a pop up of 25.62% over night... Elon's friends are sending him Thank You notes this morning... There is a subliminal message to those who were short.
 
Excellent article on used farm equipment from 5 months ago.....
The challenge with late-model, low-hour machinery is that often this equipment, which is coming in on trade, is already sold before it reaches the dealership. “The really nice equipment doesn’t sit on our lots very long,” observes Jeremy Knuth of Heritage Tractor, a John Deere dealership network in Kansas and Missouri.
So, what changed in 5 months ? Shortages that were supposed to subside, in some cases, got worse. Inflation of parts, a war, shipping and labor increased dramatically and finally the FED Reserve is raising interest rates and farmers will pay more for financing.

 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: devildog93
When the goin' gets tough, look where the energy comes from... Solar, EV and similar can't do the heavy lifting like coal and crude. Maybe one day they will but when a war breaks out old habits die hard.
______________________
Prices for coal from Central Appalachia surged 9% to $106.15 a ton last week, the highest since late 2008, according to government data released Monday. Prices in the Illinois Basin rose to $109.55, topping $100 for the first time in records dating to 2005.

 
Picking up speed....

American customers are beginning to cut prices on mainstays from toothpaste to child system as inflation hits a swath of the economic system that had up to now confirmed proof against substantial value will increase.
Procter & Gamble Co., Clorox Co., Kraft Heinz Co. and different consumer-products giants have made a wager that customers pays up for family merchandise whilst inflation takes maintain. Over the previous year, the businesses have seen income and market share develop as they’ve raised costs on merchandise from detergent and diapers to snacks and soda.

 
  • Like
Reactions: devildog93
Sometimes the Doctor that prescribes some nasty medicine is not one of your favorites. But looking back, it got you back on your feet quick... I'm not a big fan of Lael Brainard but her prescription will get the economy back on it's feet quicker than what Jerome Powell has been doing (that is nothing).......

 
Sometimes the Doctor that prescribes some nasty medicine is not one of your favorites. But looking back, it got you back on your feet quick... I'm not a big fan of Lael Brainard but her prescription will get the economy back on it's feet quicker than what Jerome Powell has been doing (that is nothing).......

Trying to figure out, if I would get a better return buying dollar store, or just buying a few BIG bags of flour to offset the rise that's coming.
 
Trying to figure out, if I would get a better return buying dollar store, or just buying a few BIG bags of flour to offset the rise that's coming.
Never put all your eggs in one basket.....
DLTR, WMT, AZO... Get my drift?
Junk silver (old silver dimes)
Water... Use your imagination
Garden - Potatoes, corn, veggies that can be canned
Dog - security
Like minded neighbors
Leave the Mega city

Your best return will be invest in what it takes to live through the first two die off's. Then you will need those weapons you hoarded.
:oops:
 
  • Like
Reactions: nikonNUT
Worst part about inflation/CPI is how badly they game the system to keep the numbers lower than they really are, they've been doing this for decades. A couple simple examples, if something gets too expensive, they use another cheaper product for the inflation index, this happened a few years ago when beef was getting too expensive so they changed to using chicken to calculate it. If the quantity changes, they get the opportunity to substitute a cheaper product, say if a carton of eggs goes from qty. 12 to 10.

Another example is anything with technology, they get to deduct any new features/tech off the price increases when evaluated for inflation. For example if a 2010 base honda civic was $20k, and a 2020 base honda civic is $40k, let's say extra safety, convenience, etc. features they can "write off" $15k of that price increase, then for inflation purposes they only use a $5k increase, but the fact remains the cheapest honda civic you can buy is still $20k more than it was 10 years ago. Add wifi and resolution to the base TV model, even if the price goes up, it won't count toward inflation if they can explain the cost increase due to new features.

The financial outlook for the future is ugly for the average american.

Average price of a new car 2022: $47k 2000: $21k
Average price of a used car 2022: : $30k 2000: $10k

Average college student loans: $40k at 4-7% interest

Average price of a starter home: $250k (also keep in mind that last year 1 in 4 starter homes were bought by investment groups).

The National average rent for a 2 bedroom apt. $1990 a month.

Median household income in 2000: $60k
Median household income in 2020: $67k
What the median household income should be in 2020, using the 2000 $60k value and only adjusting for inflation: $91k So while the prices of many good and rent are climbing at higher than CPI average rates, median incomes have been flat for 20 years.

Only 4% of workers current have access to a traditional pension
Median 401k balance for 45-55 year olds: $85k (that's only for those with a 401k balance, 35% of Americans have no retirement savings at all)
 
So what you are saying is... it's not transient any more?
The longer the "shuck and jive" goes on the more painful it will be and the longer it will last.... The hard landing is looking more like a crash.

I think it was many months ago that I posted something like. It's transient until it's not.
 
"Average price of a starter home: $250k (also keep in mind that last year 1 in 4 starter homes were bought by investment groups)."

Don't forget, one of the reasons the price of 'starter' homes when up, is because the FHA raised the basic home loan from
2020 was around 330,000 ish
2021 went to 360,000 (ish) working on memory
2022 linky
the FHA sets loan limits at 115% of the median home price in an area. FHA’s base nationwide limit, known as the “floor,” loan limit, is $420,680 for 2022.
loan limits for 2020 - 2022
 
So what you are saying is... it's not transient any more?

I think it was many months ago that I posted something like. It's transient until it's not.
They are playing with words and counting on us to be ignorant.

Inflation is an action, so by its nature its existence at any point in time is transient. If inflation isn't transient, it doesn't exist. Example: inflation of a balloon is a transient process, with varying degrees of inflation until capacity is reached. Once air stops coming in, inflation stops, literally ceasing to exist as an action. HOWEVER, the fact that the inflation stopped doesn't mean that the balloon is empty - it is actually still full, just not increasing in volume. Now, it is not inflating, but inflated.

Prices are like the balloon: the forces that make them bigger are transitory at any given moment until the forces stop, at which time prices cease to increase. This does NOT meant that the prices go down (cease to be inflated), only that they are no longer increasing.

Don't let them lie to you. Inflation stopping will not help your wallet, although they will tell you it will. You will live with the results of inflated prices long after inflation stops. Until the balloon deflates or pops.