Inflation.......... ?

I know where you are comin' from.... There is a phrase that we should all be aware of.. "Investor's expectations"...
These are people in foreign countries, people who never worked hard enough to get calluses on their hands, don't own a gun, can't grow a garden, live in a mega city and eat plant based food... Should I go on ?

If you dropped me and an investor off on a mountain, in a swamp or on the high plains during a snow storm... I'm sure I'd kill him before it came time to make camp for the night.... Why ? No need to carry dead weight.

For you guy's that have followed this topic... All of the signs were there that this recession was going to take hold...

Brace yourselves for more "Heavy Hitter" companies to drop 10% or more in a day.

:);)(n)
I watched
I know where you are comin' from.... There is a phrase that we should all be aware of.. "Investor's expectations"...
These are people in foreign countries, people who never worked hard enough to get calluses on their hands, don't own a gun, can't grow a garden, live in a mega city and eat plant based food... Should I go on ?

If you dropped me and an investor off on a mountain, in a swamp or on the high plains during a snow storm... I'm sure I'd kill him before it came time to make camp for the night.... Why ? No need to carry dead weight.

For you guy's that have followed this topic... All of the signs were there that this recession was going to take hold...

Brace yourselves for more "Heavy Hitter" companies to drop 10% or more in a day.

:);)(n)
I watched many hundred billion dollar companies drop 50% on earnings in the last 3 months.
 
People are broke and don't have a clue they are broke.... Waiting for a wad of cash to be thrown in their face...
All I can do is :LOL:
Card companies keep boosting limits. I give it about 3 more months. Maybe less.

I’m currently in the market for a Camaro SS in 2ss trim, but most are still at MSRP. No worries, I’ll buy it from the last overworked salesman on the lot 4 months from now after all the other sellers have been laid off.

I have not forgotten 2008. Only difference now is there are hardly any gas sippers left to trade gas guzzlers into.

Mainly just the foreign cars, which is why I bought my gay ass Camry for a steal when gas was $2.50 a gallon.
 
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Card companies keep boosting limits. I give it about 3 more months. Maybe less.

I’m currently in the market for a Camaro SS in 2ss trim, but most are still at MSRP. No worries, I’ll buy it from the last overworked salesman on the lot 4 months from now after all the other sellers have been laid off.

I have not forgotten 2008. Only difference now is there are hardly any gas sippers left to trade gas guzzlers into.

Mainly just the foreign cars, which is why I bought my gay ass Camry for a steal when gas was $2.50 a gallon.
It is what it is..... I'm gettin' too old to hand shovel garden soil, sand, etc off of my flat bed trailer. Should have bought a 2 - 3 yard dump trailer to pull behind my truck 3 years ago. They have doubled in price. Lookin' at all these contractors with new dumps, Bobcats, big Ford Powerstrokes that are not paid for... Get ready for the Fire Sale.
 
It is what it is..... I'm gettin' too old to hand shovel garden soil, sand, etc off of my flat bed trailer. Should have bought a 2 - 3 yard dump trailer to pull behind my truck 3 years ago. They have doubled in price. Lookin' at all these contractors with new dumps, Bobcats, big Ford Powerstrokes that are not paid for... Get ready for the Fire Sale.
Sadly, this will be the case. If you’ll recall, around January I stopped being my relatively frugal self and started buying what I thought I needed at any price. Glad I did.

In about 6 months you’ll be able to hire some hobos to move the dirt for cheap. Either that or we’ll be in WWIII.
 
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Card companies keep boosting limits. I give it about 3 more months. Maybe less.

I’m currently in the market for a Camaro SS in 2ss trim, but most are still at MSRP. No worries, I’ll buy it from the last overworked salesman on the lot 4 months from now after all the other sellers have been laid off.

I have not forgotten 2008. Only difference now is there are hardly any gas sippers left to trade gas guzzlers into.

Mainly just the foreign cars, which is why I bought my gay ass Camry for a steal when gas was $2.50 a gallon.

I am waiting for the car market to drop out, I can't believe what people are asking/paying for new and used cars. Not to mention, how the hell are banks lending that kind of money for the overpriced vehicles?
 
Card companies keep boosting limits. I give it about 3 more months. Maybe less.

I’m currently in the market for a Camaro SS in 2ss trim, but most are still at MSRP. No worries, I’ll buy it from the last overworked salesman on the lot 4 months from now after all the other sellers have been laid off.

I have not forgotten 2008. Only difference now is there are hardly any gas sippers left to trade gas guzzlers into.

Mainly just the foreign cars, which is why I bought my gay ass Camry for a steal when gas was $2.50 a gallon.
Just paid off my last CC. Zero debt minus mortgage and monthly bills.....

Doc
 
I am waiting for the car market to drop out, I can't believe what people are asking/paying for new and used cars. Not to mention, how the hell are banks lending that kind of money for the overpriced vehicles?
The "banks can't fail" comes back into mind. They will be bailed out once again.

Mark my words.....

Doc
 
Just paid off my last CC. Zero debt minus mortgage and monthly bills.....

Doc
I owe 3500 on a 0% interest card, 3700 on my tool box and about 35k on my house. The first two debts are interest free which is the only reason i have them and they will be paid in the next 3 months. Along with about a years supply of meat in the deep freeze, I feel pretty prepared for what's coming. I really thought it would've happened sooner but it's not the first time I've been wrong.
 
Are cars overpriced, or were they underpriced for a long time?

Both can be true statements.

The problem is that most of the current profit from "overpricing" or "right-pricing" or whatever you believe is going into the dealers' pockets. The OE do save a few thousand per unit because they don't have to offer incentives. The suppliers aren't making shit; in fact, most are worse off since everything costs more and they can't get any pricing relief per their contracts.
 
I know where you are comin' from.... There is a phrase that we should all be aware of.. "Investor's expectations"...
These are people in foreign countries, people who never worked hard enough to get calluses on their hands, don't own a gun, can't grow a garden, live in a mega city and eat plant based food... Should I go on ?

If you dropped me and an investor off on a mountain, in a swamp or on the high plains during a snow storm... I'm sure I'd bury him before it came time to make camp for the night.... Why ? No need to carry dead weight.

For you guy's that have followed this topic... All of the signs were there that this recession was going to take hold...

Brace yourselves for more "Heavy Hitter" companies to drop 10% or more in a day.

:);)(n)



Target is down 20% this morning.
 
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Target is down 20% this morning.
You are up mighty early to give us that report...

Target on Wednesday reported quarterly earnings that fell far short of Wall Street’s expectations, as the retailer coped with pricey freight costs, higher markdowns and lower-than-expected sales of discretionary items from TVs to bicycles.

"Expectations" are kind of like "Hope".... Could be loaded with disappointment.


 
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WHEAT - No let up in sight.... just a reminder. The FED Reserve is wanting to announce that inflation has leveled off.... Beware
 
You are up mighty early to give us that report...

Target on Wednesday reported quarterly earnings that fell far short of Wall Street’s expectations, as the retailer coped with pricey freight costs, higher markdowns and lower-than-expected sales of discretionary items from TVs to bicycles.

"Expectations" are kind of like "Hope".... Could be loaded with disappointment.


I don’t sleep much, plus I was sitting on a rather unsafe amount of puts, lol.

I never short Walmart, because everyone shops there. However, target is the instagram famous mom flex store, and when they’re broke as fuck, they shop at Walmart.

Add $24 minimum wage and the fact that walmart and Amazon have declined this year, and it was an easy short.
 
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Similar to a Doctor making a diagnosis in a very ill patient.
I was expecting a few more paragraphs explaining the cure to this illness.
Stephen Roach is 76 years old and has, not only survived, but documented the most volatile events in America's financial markets.
Certainly makes me wonder why he is not the Chairman of the Federal Reserve ?
Perhaps he is just one more man who refuses to become politicized.
 
Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian warned that a "worst case" stagflation scenario – the rare combination of economic stagnation and high inflation – could see the benchmark S&P 500 fall to 3,200, a drop of roughly 17% from current values. It would mark a stunning 33% drop from the beginning of the year.

 
The FED Reserve can slow inflation by raising interest rates. The economic stagnation will run it's course. Dumping more money into the matrix will only worsen the situation. The US Government must slow down it's "free money" give away.

Deja Vu = Helicopter , Ben Bernanke

 

This is what I’m talking about with my thoughts on the housing market when the depression hits.

You will own nothing, and be happy.
 
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this is an absurd article. To think that the Eastern Seaboard, which saw ridiculous home price increases, is less than 20% chance of correction is simply dumb. You can't slow the economy, raise mtg rates and reduce incomes and NOT expect a major house correction after witnessing years of ridiculous price increases due to major debt expansion
 
this is an absurd article. To think that the Eastern Seaboard, which saw ridiculous home price increases, is less than 20% chance of correction is simply dumb. You can't slow the economy, raise mtg rates and reduce incomes and NOT expect a major house correction after witnessing years of ridiculous price increases due to major debt expansion
Yeah, I agree, I posted this to see if anyone would react. Non of us can look into a crystal ball and predict these things.
 
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Now we're getting somewhere. Any bets on where it will be in August when the grain/fertilizer/weed killer gets priced in? I'm guessing you can double it.
The "Government" will skew the numbers and push the bad news into 2023. Their propaganda will say we are heading for a "soft landing".
 

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“Foundries have already increased prices 10-20% in the past year,” Bain semiconductor analyst Peter Hanbury told CNBC. “We expect a further round of price increases this year, but smaller (i.e. 5-7%).”

 
The inflation we have now is only squeezing the middle and lower classes.

Yes, inflation affects the affluent, but these are minimal compared to their overall overhead expenses. The percentages are different, but the effect is fractional.

Quite frankly, without the middle class competing, it makes it actually cheaper to some degree for the wealthier to acquire the same items they would normally compete with the middle class for.

The people that can afford a $8k scope are still going to buy an $8k scope even with current inflation or are buying now to beat inflation.

The people that can afford a $2k scope are feeling it along with the $400 scope crowd. If you can't afford $400 for a scope, you're saving your pennies for food/rent/gas.
 
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As I said 873,000 times, people can’t hide from high gas.

According to most analysts, pandemic savings are about gone for the majority. Now they are living on the conveniently timed, un-asked for credit limit increases.
 

As I said 873,000 times, people can’t hide from high gas.

According to most analysts, pandemic savings are about gone for the majority. Now they are living on the conveniently timed, un-asked for credit limit increases.
We are in agreement.
The Government will hand out "Free Money" in the form of food, rent, education, medical care...
Those with $1m or more will only feel it when their investments don't produce record returns.
This is truly a "Middle Class Squeeze" by design.
The generation finishing college is priced out of the housing market and saddled with student loans. Living in an apartment is their future.
Very few articles about people "Living the Retirement Dream Life", mostly about people working at 70 years old.
Lot's of propaganda from the Financial Planners, Stock Market traders and Financial Experts.. They mixed a new bowl of Koolaid for this circus.
My plan is to maintain, stay healthy, do without, shop the Thrift stores and Estate sales, raise a garden, enjoy my chickens and count my blessings.
 
We are in agreement.
The Government will hand out "Free Money" in the form of food, rent, education, medical care...
Those with $1m or more will only feel it when their investments don't produce record returns.
This is truly a "Middle Class Squeeze" by design.
The generation finishing college is priced out of the housing market and saddled with student loans. Living in an apartment is their future.
Very few articles about people "Living the Retirement Dream Life", mostly about people working at 70 years old.
Lot's of propaganda from the Financial Planners, Stock Market traders and Financial Experts.. They mixed a new bowl of Koolaid for this circus.
My plan is to maintain, stay healthy, do without, shop the Thrift stores and Estate sales, raise a garden, enjoy my chickens and count my blessings.
You will own nothing, and be happy.


Normally I’m pretty frugal, but in January I went all out purchasing necessities that I think I’d need over the next 5 years. Spent more in a 3 month period than I probably have in the last 10 years.

I wanted stuff in stock, no matter the price. Now I’m comfortable.

I’m also spending more on wants in the last two months. As I said above, I’m not waiting.

My plan is still to die by day 17 of the apocalypse.
 
You will own nothing, and be happy.


Normally I’m pretty frugal, but in January I went all out purchasing necessities that I think I’d need over the next 5 years. Spent more in a 3 month period than I probably have in the last 10 years.

I wanted stuff in stock, no matter the price. Now I’m comfortable.

I’m also spending more on wants in the last two months. As I said above, I’m not waiting.

My plan is still to die by day 17 of the apocalypse.
Day 17 ????

What ? And miss the Grand Finale ?
 
Today, Germany is reporting a massive (unexpected) jump in overall inflation for May of 8.7%, up from the previous month’s 7.8%.
 
America must "Uncouple" it's oil from the rest of the world. Stop the import and export of petroleum based products and crude.
This administration must pull the plug before the price of oil sinks the economy of America.
Hard times are coming. Remember, $4+ gas is projected through the end of the year.

If people have children, I’d be getting my Christmas shopping done now.