Things are not adding up;
U.S. initial jobless claims fall 28,000 to 187,000 in latest week to lowest level since 1969
Jobless claims usually bottom out prior to a recession:
Initial Jobless Claims Historical Chart
This interactive chart shows initial unemployment claims back to 1967.
www.macrotrends.net
Note that I trimmed the right side of the chart because the April 2020 numbers fuck up the Y-axis scale.
So, if history holds true, we're maybe 6-12 months out from the next recession. I don't place much faith in this prediction because of *waves hands at everything*