Slightly older post, but i found my old testing excel sheet related to this...
i took loaded ammo that i had been shooting just as a standard for before and after to make sure it's velocity remained relatively the same
then i made 4 different 10 round batches...
1 loaded fresh
1 left the powder in hopper w/ lid on for 3 days
1 left open in a small bowl next to the hopper for 3 days
1 left in a small bowl in the fridge for 3 days
Avg string 1 and 2 are the 6 shots of the standard load pre/post combined
i live on the south tx coast, a block from the bay front, so humidity is always on the higher side even though my garage is A/C'd, it fluctuates a little more than inside the house...it generally stays in the 70-80* range all year
my conclusion...i dont leave powder in my hoppers, and try to leave it exposed as little as possible...only open and pour what i need and return it to the can soon as im done. Im sure that even tho the closed hopper only showed a small drop in the 3 days...id bet it dropped down similar to the open powder over a little more time
2 things ive found that attribute to real velocity differences a lot of people dont realize outside of all the small sample size error/etc mentioned above....powder condition and bore condition even with the exact same load
how the powder is stored and even if the location where it is stored is different from where it was originally obtained...im betting most all of my powder will get slightly slower and slower over the years and multiple can openings because its humid where i live.
bore condition...typically, in my experience, a barrel will gain speed as it fouls...a clean barrel will avg slower than it would 50 rounds later...200 rounds later, faster again (just example round counts)....actual round counts where these changes show up enough to notice depends on the barrel and firing schedule/fouling/etc...you clean it well, it will drop back in speed...and this can repeat/alter things depending on cleaning/firing cycles for the life of the barrel
ive found keeping my barrels mostly clean, generally keeps them inside a 25 fps avg window or so for 100-200 rounds...ive shot barrels from clean to 300+ rounds and gained 75-100 fps with the same batch of ammo before and after 2 day matches, not really ideal