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And yet another one for fl

My in-laws live near Naples but inland, a few miles east of I75. We tried talking them into at least going across to Ft Lauderdale or just driving way north to avoid the worst of it. They’re stubborn and hemmed & hawed so now they’re out of time and will have to stay. And, their storm shutters are lost somewhere in a dark corner of their garage.
We are all from Naples …everyone is staying
 
same with daughter # 1 her and her grands (my gr grands) staying in naples. 1 of her sons on NG duty,1 working. daughter # 2 staying in parish and working some. both are pretty far from shore,rivers,lakes. wind gonna be the kicker. same for me in levy co inland. yankeetown,cedar key,horseshoe beach,steinhatchee that whole area around the bend & from sarasota north is trashed. throw a cat 3 on that and damage will be unfixable in < 10 years,if then. have heard us 19 is bumper to bumper from st. pete north to at least past chiefland. wonder where close to 1 mil people can go.
 
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Lasted predicted path puts the center south of the Tampa Bay in the Sarasota area. Better for the bay but not so much for the south.
They must be leaning on the ECMWF model for now. Guessing as it may better model the interaction (attraction) of the low pressure system off the east coast of Florida.

The last five GFS runs ( which is good ) has the storm going right up the Tampa Bay shipping channel.

There is approximately 12 miles divergence for landfall between the two models at this time.

Still too soon to be certain where Milton is going to go.
 
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i wonder if another system is developing in the atlantic. nobody talking about it so maybe it's going the other direction.

Screenshot 2024-10-08 171414.png
 
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Starting to look like Sarasota is going to be ground zero for this thing; possibly even a bit south. We just had a cold front so maybe that's going to push Milton south a bit. Sad to see. If it's a direct hit at 150mph+ in Tampa & then moves on I-4 to Orlando or SR 60 to Melbourne, we're talking BILLIONS and BILLIONS of dollars of damage.
 
AF meteorologist bud in the panhandle turned me on to a website he uses. Tropical Tidbits. It’s indicating south of TB/Sarasota. Possibly turning ESE. That would take me out of the worst. Sure don’t wish it on anyone.
 
Starting to look like Sarasota is going to be ground zero for this thing; possibly even a bit south. We just had a cold front so maybe that's going to push Milton south a bit. Sad to see. If it's a direct hit at 150mph+ in Tampa & then moves on I-4 to Orlando or SR 60 to Melbourne, we're talking BILLIONS and BILLIONS of dollars of damage.
This is the most likely path, being the path of least resistance. This one’s going to kick ass and eliminate names.
 

It's looking more & more like my dad and step-mother are going to be in the bullseye.
Yikes, prayers for all! Both for those who will be impacted directly, & family / friends outside of the impact risk zone(s).

Expect loss of communication, eg don't stress into a health condition...zen, whatever works. Really.
 
The shear is doing its job. Can’t really say what the storm surge will be but Milton is loosing some of its power. Lots of rain, still winds that are nothing to joke about but there might be a bit of hope at the end of this storm.

Latest radar picture shows it is, according to NOAA, a “sheared hurricane.”

IMG_4106.gif
 
Phew, good news. I have some friends on the other coast that are prepared but are struggling to keep their pool from overflowing
TWC says it's still gonna be a cat 1 when it hits Daytona Beach tomorrow. Also 6 tornadoes so far, and up to 18" of rain. Their pool is gonna overflow.

I lived in Daytona for a couple years back in the 80s, never saw a hurricane.
 
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TWC says it's still gonna be a cat 1 when it hits Daytona Beach tomorrow. Also 6 tornadoes so far, and up to 18" of rain. Their pool is gonna overflow.

I lived in Daytona for a couple years back in the 80s, never saw a hurricane.
No matter what people say, it’s cyclical.

Pervasive and constant 24/7 monitoring and reporting and to some extent increasing population density makes for a much more “eventful” situation.

Here’s a neat surface wind flow picture I posted elsewhere.

1728512526866.jpeg
 
TWC says it's still gonna be a cat 1 when it hits Daytona Beach tomorrow. Also 6 tornadoes so far, and up to 18" of rain. Their pool is gonna overflow.

I lived in Daytona for a couple years back in the 80s, never saw a hurricane.
Hurricane seasons are pretty fickle. I lived in sw FL for just over 3yrs and saw several, a few in the 3/4 category. After I left there were very few and they weren’t very strong for about 10yrs.
 
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Is this an above ground pool?

If it's not, sloshing around is no different than letting kids play in it.

Overfilling is a zero issue.
I had to explain this same shit to my ex wife every damn storm that blew by. Did i say my ex wife.
Also had to explain to here that the house will probably never hit 72degrees in the summer no matter how long the ac ran when it was 9000 degrees outside. Did i mention ex wife?
 
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I had to explain this same shit to my ex wife every damn storm that blew by. Did i say my ex wife.
Also had to explain to here that the house will probably never hit 72degrees in the summer no matter how long the ac ran when it was 9000 degrees outside. Did i mention ex wife?

Sounds about as smart as my EX...
 
Ok buddy. Just let them know if their house floods its not because of their pool.

Is this an above ground pool?

If it's not, sloshing around is no different than letting kids play in it.

Overfilling is a zero issue.
You guys are fucking killing me