Recession - 2022 / 2023 / 2024

Hmmmm

Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood admitted during a Tuesday interview with CNBC that she had dramatically underestimated the severity of inflation — before claiming that the U.S. economy is likely already in a recession.
They are all dumbasses. It’s easy to be detached and wrong when it isn’t your money your playing with.
 
They are all dumbasses. It’s easy to be detached and wrong when it isn’t your money your playing with.
That is "EXACTLY" what I am sensing......... The people who are "in the business" have their personal money somewhere else besides the markets.
The dealer at the Black Jack table is working for a pay check and not cashing it at the Casino.
 
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I will stick to my thesis that all bullish analysts are wrong. They are so detached from reality that they are ignorant of what mainstream Americans are dealing with.

Inventory of luxury items (TV, $30 pillows, etc) is piling up.

I will continue to short metals and oil. Not shorting food.

Will continue to short retail stores (Not Walmart).

Will continue to short GM.

Always long S&P.
 
I will stick to my thesis that all bullish analysts are wrong. They are so detached from reality that they are ignorant of what mainstream Americans are dealing with.
They are wrong, but I don't think at the end of the day they really care beyond how it reflects upon themselves. They aren't losing sleep on their investors' personal situations. Its a clue.
 
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I will stick to my thesis that all bullish analysts are wrong. They are so detached from reality that they are ignorant of what mainstream Americans are dealing with.

Inventory of luxury items (TV, $30 pillows, etc) is piling up.

I will continue to short metals and oil. Not shorting food.

Will continue to short retail stores (Not Walmart).

Will continue to short GM.

Always long S&P.
I remember msm telling us to buy just prior to the banking crash. Taking Jim Cramer's advice and going 180 usually turns out well
 
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More.
I'll play the "Devil's Advocate" for a moment:
Is the Government making a move to stifle capitalism ?
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What does capitalism mean in simple terms?
Capitalism is often thought of as an economic system in which private actors own and control property in accord with their interests, and demand and supply freely set prices in markets in a way that can serve the best interests of society. The essential feature of capitalism is the motive to make a profit.


 
I'll play the "Devil's Advocate" for a moment:
Is the Government making a move to stifle capitalism ?
________________________
What does capitalism mean in simple terms?
Capitalism is often thought of as an economic system in which private actors own and control property in accord with their interests, and demand and supply freely set prices in markets in a way that can serve the best interests of society. The essential feature of capitalism is the motive to make a profit.


What do you mean? I’m not sure I understand how your question relates?
 
Why is

Why is the US Government concerned about a "Generation of Renter's" ? Historically there have been several past generations of renter's. Also many past generations of people living in the "Housing Projects".

What has changed ?
Ok. Now I understand.

Probably because of the financial make up of this generation of renters.

The . Gov doesn’t care about the poors, and their addition to our consumer based economy is at the Walmart level.

The new generation of renters are your middle class who buy the larger ticket items on credit. $18,000 Polaris, $5,000-$12,000 watches, $50k automobiles, $200 purses, etc. on top of their 30 year fixed mortgage.

Once these people are broke AF, everything screams to a halt. The “1%” don’t buy what the middle class does. The 1% gets wealthy selling their products to the soon to be perpetual renters.
 
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Ok. Now I understand.

Probably because of the financial make up of this generation of renters.

The . Gov doesn’t care about the poors, and their addition to our consumer based economy is at the Walmart level.

The new generation of renters are your middle class who buy the larger ticket items on credit. $18,000 Polaris, $5,000-$12,000 watches, $50k automobiles, $200 purses, etc. on top of their 30 year fixed mortgage.

Once these people are broke AF, everything screams to a halt. The “1%” don’t buy what the middle class does. The 1% gets wealthy selling their products to the soon to be perpetual renters.
I agree that is a large component of what we are seeing. It is almost like the Government is trying to "Build a Case" by saying the upper class white boy's have bought up all the real estate and now us po folks can't live the American dream of owning our own house. The illegalls streaming across the border don't care where they live or who is payin' the rent so they are takin' up some valuable space....

They are just making up a topic to politicize.
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Today, Congresswoman Maxine Waters (D-CA), Chairwoman of the House Committee on Financial Services, Congressman Al Green (D-TX), Chair of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, and all Subcommittee Chairs, sent requests to the nation’s top ten U.S. banks, top five U.S. property and casualty insurance companies, and top five U.S. life insurance companies to inquire about their involvement in the financing of chattel slavery in the U.S.
 
I recently (last 9 months) sold two houses. I got lots of "I will buy your house" offers including some of the investment firms. The offers were very low - I cannot imagine selling a house in the market (before mortgages went up) to these low offers.
 
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I recently (last 9 months) sold two houses. I got lots of "I will buy your house" offers including some of the investment firms. The offers were very low - I cannot imagine selling a house in the market (before mortgages went up) to these low offers.
We are witnessing some "Fear Driven" financial decisions.... That old saying of "Take the money and run" comes to mind. There will always be some of that during both the good times and bad times. Has to do with a persons situation and perception.
 
Only if they are will
They need the illegals to suppress wages.
Only if they are all willing to work............
One worker dragging 6 non-workers and the US Government paying for housing, medical care, education, transportation, etc is not working out.
A day will come when the illegals have milked America dry and they will then return to their home country.
That same day a 6th generation American will wake up and figure out he is living in a third world country.
 
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No light at the end of the tunnel.... 2022 is half over.... Even if conditions reversed today and the economy turned positive, this is a really deep hole to climb out of. It is not just the economy, it is the culture.

 
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4707D0A0-9CB8-48A7-9976-CCE83AAED6BB.png


Remember this? Lol.
 
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Now THIS is interesting.

CEO Aaron Samples has been around the PIMCO world for a long time. Smart enough to not "Stay too long at the party".....
Just now seeing the first domino's starting to fall.... Stand by, there will be many more over the next 12 months.
Now is the time you will start hearing the phrase "Things will be looking up after the first of the year". My scripted reply is always "What Year ?"
 
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Real estate agent shared this with me:

2654664728472546144
Thank you for sharing. I like that graphics. Let's hope those low producing realtors have a part time gig to fall back on when the showing time drops even more. We are half way through 2022. Even if the bottom was established today, it is going to be a 2 year climb to get out of this hole.... And, that is not just real estate. We have raised 2 - 3 generations of slugs.
 
Thank you for sharing. I like that graphics. Let's hope those low producing realtors have a part time gig to fall back on when the showing time drops even more. We are half way through 2022. Even if the bottom was established today, it is going to be a 2 year climb to get out of this hole.... And, that is not just real estate. We have raised 2 - 3 generations of slugs.
The real estate agent was warning those getting into real estate that hard times are coming!
 
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This week has seen investors shift from inflation anxiety to recession fears as stocks have been hammered and bonds bid (along with rate-hike expectations tumbling).

The continued erosion in economic data has prompted The Atlanta Fed to slash its forecast for Q2 GDP growth to -2.1% meaning the US is now technically in recession (after Q1's confirmed 1.6% contraction yesterday).

 
Fuck joe biden
Fuck 'em *ALL!*. Literally The Republic has failed and is crashing as we type and The Failure lies at the feet of the Two Party System. As predicted. We have no future and can't recover this Republic until we dispense with a Two Party System. We need *REAL* choices and new voices. No Democrats, No Republicans' need apply.

VooDoo
 
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Remember: Never kill the messenger.
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Mark Zuckerberg has issued a chilling message to Meta Platforms Inc. employees: The company faces one of the “worst downturns that we’ve seen in recent history,” which will necessitate a scaling back of hiring and allocation of resources.


The dire economic warning was delivered during an internal videoconference meeting on Thursday for Meta’s META 77,800 workers, according to a New York Times report. To underscore the ominous message, Zuckerberg told employees that they should expect to do more with fewer resources and that their performance would be more aggressively graded.


“I think some of you might decide that this place isn’t for you, and that self-selection is OK with me,” Zuckerberg said on a call, according to the Times. “Realistically, there are probably a bunch of people at the company who shouldn’t be here.”

 
Remember: Never kill the messenger.
______________________________________
Mark Zuckerberg has issued a chilling message to Meta Platforms Inc. employees: The company faces one of the “worst downturns that we’ve seen in recent history,” which will necessitate a scaling back of hiring and allocation of resources.


The dire economic warning was delivered during an internal videoconference meeting on Thursday for Meta’s META 77,800 workers, according to a New York Times report. To underscore the ominous message, Zuckerberg told employees that they should expect to do more with fewer resources and that their performance would be more aggressively graded.


“I think some of you might decide that this place isn’t for you, and that self-selection is OK with me,” Zuckerberg said on a call, according to the Times. “Realistically, there are probably a bunch of people at the company who shouldn’t be here.”


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Another sign of the times:
NEW YORK (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve of New York will publish monthly updates on the U.S. corporate bond market to help identify signs of market distress similar to those seen during the global financial crisis and in early 2020.
The launch on Wednesday of a monthly publication of the Corporate Bond Market Distress Index (CMDI) comes after U.S. credit market investors suffered heavy losses this year, as companies' debt lost value due to rising interest rates and economic concerns.
"Understanding what is happening in corporate bond markets is crucial to getting a more complete picture of the future economic outlook," Nina Boyarchenko, head of macrofinance studies at the New York Fed, said in a statement.

 
Worldwide... Countries / Markets / Currency will not decline evenly. Going to be exponentially until the bottom is reached. Japan / Nikkei has held up well. It will be interesting as to how the currency traders will attempt to make a profit in a down market... and then there is Russia,
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The euro fell to its lowest level in two decades on Tuesday as fears of a recession in the euro zone ramped up, with gas prices soaring and the Ukraine war showing no signs of abating.


 
Someone asked me "What is free money?"... I explained it was when a person lived in a home but paid no rent, went to the ER and paid no money, sent their kid to school hungry and was fed a nutritious meal, furnished an IPhone at no cost so they could apply for EBT stuff and turned free loading into a full time profession. Here is the result:
The central banks around the world kept “super loose monetary policy” in place for too long, hoping that inflation would be transitory, Subbaraman said.

 
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Someone asked me "What is free money?"... I explained it was when a person lived in a home but paid no rent, went to the ER and paid no money, sent their kid to school hungry and was fed a nutritious meal, furnished an IPhone at no cost so they could apply for EBT stuff and turned free loading into a full time profession. Here is the result:
The central banks around the world kept “super loose monetary policy” in place for too long, hoping that inflation would be transitory, Subbaraman said.

I do not believe the present economic situation is due to “mistakes”. I believe it had been carefully engineered. Those who did do are well aware of the shortcomings of the system and it’s managers, so they set the scene for a predictable outcome in order to further their great reset goals. The truly wealthy are doing it for profits and control to facilitate even more profits.