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Amazon (AMZN)

Living in a rural area / Bedroom Community during the pandemic, I got a lot of items off of Amazon. Noticing things going down hill when I order off of Amazon. Less and less free shipping and things take a lot longer to get here. The UPS to USPS shuffle where things get lost or delayed even longer. Been trying to get a few garden items and conditions have gone from bad to worse. Appears lots of warehouses were overstocked and a lot of out dated stuff is selling like brand new items. Calling or messaging Customer Service turns into a rotating turnstile from one Indian to another Indian to a Vietnamese to who knows where or what a person talks to. Eventually a dissatisfied customer just gives up. The tail off after the pandemic is showing in the share prices. I think amazon saw it;s hay day during the pandemic when they were the only game in town. Times have changed. Amazon could be history in a short period of time. JMHO

big.chart
 
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AI is coming for white collar jobs. Everyone bragging about working from home - here is your future. What would your employer do with an opportunity to reduce white collar head count by 30%. I wonder if AI can identify as a "protected class" - then it will be 60% layoffs.

Artificial intelligence may not yet be causing layoffs, but recent technological advances are starting to pause hiring in certain industries. IBM (NYSE:IBM) CEO Arvind Krishna is tapping the brakes, expecting that 30% of back office functions, like human resources, will be replaced by AI and automation over a five-year period (that could mean letting go of around 7,800 employees). While IBM attempts to capitalize on the new era, the company had been a clear early leader in artificial intelligence and supercomputing. Its Deep Blue chess-playing system beat world champion Garry Kasparov in 1997, while IBM Watson AI won the top prize in Jeopardy back in 2011. Recent Seeking Alpha news on AI also includes Chegg slides with students ramping up usage of ChatGPT and Rising AI enthusiasm continues to benefit Nvidia. (4 comments)

And to think, none of this shit is even "AI".
 
Amazon (AMZN)

Living in a rural area / Bedroom Community during the pandemic, I got a lot of items off of Amazon. Noticing things going down hill when I order off of Amazon. Less and less free shipping and things take a lot longer to get here. The UPS to USPS shuffle where things get lost or delayed even longer. Been trying to get a few garden items and conditions have gone from bad to worse. Appears lots of warehouses were overstocked and a lot of out dated stuff is selling like brand new items. Calling or messaging Customer Service turns into a rotating turnstile from one Indian to another Indian to a Vietnamese to who knows where or what a person talks to. Eventually a dissatisfied customer just gives up. The tail off after the pandemic is showing in the share prices. I think amazon saw it;s hay day during the pandemic when they were the only game in town. Times have changed. Amazon could be history in a short period of time. JMHO

big.chart
There is more to Amazon than just ordering items.

Their cloud computing is one.

I’m sure they have a finger in tech innovation as well.

Kinda like Tesla is more than just electric cars.
 
I understand that.

But the financials on both look like a deal, especially C.

Trying to look forward on this. There will be a “other side” on the bank crisis.
 
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Clearly that depends on the size of the bank and ,perhaps more importantly ,who the shareholders are.

You can look at who the shareholders are on those two companies if you want more intel on them.
 
The Long Play...

"Our decision to expand was driven by our confidence in future demand and allows us to offer customers additional supply from Greenbushes, well known as one of the world's best lithium mines," chief executive Ken Masters said, as quoted by the Wall Street Journal.
 
Clearly that depends on the size of the bank and ,perhaps more importantly ,who the shareholders are.

You can look at who the shareholders are on those two companies if you want more intel on them.
So, some banks are "insured" by the US Government.... Depending on who the share holders are.
Sounds like the game is rigged.
 
Depends... Are you betting the US Government will continue to bail out the failing banks ?
At some point the US government will deek the other way on the financial system to provoke a massive impact to further the great reset goals. The same way a manipulative partner crushes the joy out of their mark by flip flopping nice/mean.
 
Berkshire Hathaway, Inc1,010,100,606Dec 30, 202212.62%28,444,432,910
Vanguard Group, Inc. (The)607,703,467Dec 30, 20227.59%17,112,929,537
Blackrock Inc.471,843,006Dec 30, 20225.90%13,287,098,976
State Street Corporation297,870,751Dec 30, 20223.72%8,388,040,302
Berkshire Hathaway, Inc1,010,100,606Dec 30, 202212.62%28,444,432,910
Vanguard Group, Inc. (The)607,703,467Dec 30, 20227.59%17,112,929,537
Blackrock Inc.471,843,006Dec 30, 20225.90%13,287,098,976
State Street Corporation297,870,751Dec 30, 20223.72%8,388,040,302

BoA top shareholders.

You think they are not covered?
 
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HolderSharesDate Reported% OutValue
Vanguard Group, Inc. (The)167,689,164Dec 30, 20228.63%7,695,255,633
Blackrock Inc.163,473,337Dec 30, 20228.41%7,501,791,335
State Street Corporation85,950,514Dec 30, 20224.42%3,944,269,034
Berkshire Hathaway, Inc55,155,797Dec 30, 20222.84%2,531,099,490
Geode Capital Management, LLC34,659,804Dec 30, 20221.78%1,590,538,384
Bank Of New York Mellon Corporation26,685,419Dec 30, 20221.37%1,224,593,861
Morgan Stanley25,852,678Dec 30, 20221.33%1,186,379,377
JP Morgan Chase & Company23,495,869Dec 30, 20221.21%1,078,225,414
Fisher Asset Management, LLC21,888,245Mar 30, 20231.13%1,004,451,549
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management, LLC21,582,837Dec 30, 20221.11%990,436,376

Share holders for C.
 
The cost of borrowing will continue to rise as the Federal Reserve increased its benchmark rate for the 10th straight time on Wednesday.
The federal funds rate — which indirectly determines the cost of loans, mortgages, auto financing and credit cards — has increased by 25 basis points, and is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%.

__________________
This continues to be one big fiasco. FED Reserve / Jerome Powell became politicized and started raising rates 8 months too late. The small increments of rate raising, announced weeks in advance to the insiders has done nothing to stop inflation. If anything it is prolonging the inflation. today's interest rate should stand at 12% - 14%.
Reminds me of a kid ridding a scooter with no brakes and is dragging one foot to slow down. Both are facing a crash.

 
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Maybe - raising the interest rates from effectively zero to 5+% by the FED quickly disrupted some of these banks.
We, here on the board, have been discussing this for 2 years... How much "warning" do the banks need ?
Doubtful there are many members here with a PhD in Finance.
But there are many here who took the hard knocks from the past 4 recessions.
Several articles out there about the banks making the same mistakes, over and over and expecting a different outcome.
1683210620684.jpeg
 
We, here on the board, have been discussing this for 2 years... How much "warning" do the banks need ?
Doubtful there are many members here with a PhD in Finance.
But there are many here who took the hard knocks from the past 4 recessions.
Several articles out there about the banks making the same mistakes, over and over and expecting a different outcome.
View attachment 8134392
You are assuming that the leadership of the banks or their depositors "lost" in the failures. Leadership will get big severance and go to the next bank or government positions. FDIC+ paid off the depositors. Other crony banks got paid by government to take over the failing banks. Guess shareholders were the main "losers".
 
In my last job at a major paper company, I was not allowed to buy/sell stocks (nor wife) as there might be conflicts of interest, etc. Absolutely criminal that Federal elected representatives and other Federal beaurocrats, their staffs, their families are allowed to trade with effectively unlimited insider knowledge.
 
You are assuming that the leadership of the banks or their depositors "lost" in the failures. Leadership will get big severance and go to the next bank or government positions. FDIC+ paid off the depositors. Other crony banks got paid by government to take over the failing banks. Guess shareholders were the main "losers".
I have done a lot of "assuming" in my life.... So far, it has gone in my favor....
Today I am assuming the average American is a member of one of the dumbest societies in the world.
 
these mid and small banks suffer from mismanagement and a focus on all things not related to ALM. this isn't a Fed caused issue, this is about managing balance sheets properly which they did not do
These banks need to go broke.

What Is Asset/Liability Management? Asset/liability management is the process of managing the use of assets and cash flows to reduce the firm's risk of loss from not paying a liability on time. Well-managed assets and liabilities increase business profits.
 
These banks need to go broke.

What Is Asset/Liability Management? Asset/liability management is the process of managing the use of assets and cash flows to reduce the firm's risk of loss from not paying a liability on time. Well-managed assets and liabilities increase business profits.
They aint going broke, though, right?

They are being bought-up and consolidated into mega banks.
 
Looks like Comerica (CMA) is in the queue

big.chart
When the "market" can not explain the erratic movement of a stock......... It is labeled as a "Meme Stock"...
Now CMA is a meme.

Comerica Inc14.13%
___________

Are Regional Banks the New Meme Stocks?​

5:29 am ET May 5, 2023 (Dow Jones) Print

By Gunjan Banerji

Regional bank shares have been rocked by some of the biggest swings in their history.
PacWest shares dropped more than 50% on Thursday, while Western Alliance fell 38%. Zions and Comerica shed around 12% each, continuing a head-spinning stretch for the group (https://www.wsj.com/articles/region...-fret-about-contagion-7717c91a?mod=hpleadpos2). The rollercoaster action looked set to extend into Friday, with the stocks regaining some ground premarket.
There has also been heavy options activity, with trading tied to all three of those banks hitting some of the highest levels on record. Some individual investors have waded into the market](https://www.wsj.com/articles/bets-against-signature-bank-stock-paid-offon-paper-at-least-57b0679b), helping drive the frenetic activity and looking to cash in from the wild moves (read about the individual investor picking up lottery-ticket bets on First Republic [here (https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/st...buying-a-lottery-ticket--rnBALmXQHdSJJA72oRke)).
The activity is reminiscent of the meme-stock mania of 2021](https://www.wsj.com/articles/keith-...it-mania-he-talked-to-the-journal-11611931696), which drew hordes of traders in to play the intense volatility in names such as GameStop and AMC Entertainment. Several of those companies were heavily bet against, making them a target for individual investors and at times helping worsen their swings. During the bull market, the heavy trading helped shape the fortunes of those two companies, allowing them to raise money and--in AMC's case--[helping to save it from financial distress (https://www.wsj.com/articles/amc-seeks-new-lifeline-after-meme-stock-bubble-pops-11674238755).
This time, things look quite different. At least one executive has blamed the heavy trading activity, saying that it helped spur an outflow in deposits (https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/st...-stock-the-cfo-thinks-so-pmNmQHeLBzRcJFlxyop3).
 
It’s almost like banks can no longer hide their incredibly precarious financial positions. Look for fast and rough government moves to take over the message and distract with something big.
The "Bank Sector" is now the play ground for the meme traders. It's all about "movement of share price" and the heavy hitters are squeezing the small players.
Millions can be made with as little as a $0.10 share price move. Needless to mention the option plays.
Things turn on a dime over night.
Welcome to the casino... Feelin' lucky ?
 
I also hate how SnipersHide stops providing me updates to this thread when other threads spam my notifications.

I added JEPI to my retirement; expecting further volatility and more to the downside, this should farewell.
 
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I also hate how SnipersHide stops providing me updates to this thread when other threads spam my notifications.

I added JEPI to my retirement; expecting further volatility and more to the downside, this should farewell.
Nice dividend
 
It may not be the off the charts gold buying observed in the second half of 2022, but central bank Central bank gold buying made a blistering start to 2023 when according to the latest report from the World Gold Council, demand for the hard currency by the world's money-printing authorities reached 228 tonnes in Q1, a 176% increase compared to the 82.7 tonnes one year ago. While lower than the figures seen in the previous two quarters this was nonetheless the strongest first quarter on record. According to the WGC, "this is all the more impressive considering it follows the record-breaking pace of demand last year."

 
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It may not be the off the charts gold buying observed in the second half of 2022, but central bank Central bank gold buying made a blistering start to 2023 when according to the latest report from the World Gold Council, demand for the hard currency by the world's money-printing authorities reached 228 tonnes in Q1, a 176% increase compared to the 82.7 tonnes one year ago. While lower than the figures seen in the previous two quarters this was nonetheless the strongest first quarter on record. According to the WGC, "this is all the more impressive considering it follows the record-breaking pace of demand last year."


Soooooooooooooooo, should I keep with my track record and buy more at all time highs or wait for a dip??? If I buy, be certain the price will soon drop dramatically and for a long time...